Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Crude Oil Day trading strategy; Screen to Floor Morning Prep 08/28/13


Crude Oil Inventories News

Crude Oil PIT Direction

Crude Oil News Today
Crude Oil PIT Levels

Crude Oil has been on a wild ride over the last 24-hours.  News from Syria has caused traders to speculate that supply of Crude Oil may be disrupted if a war breaks out over the use of chemical weapons by the Syrian Government.  As of this morning we are still waiting to hear more about what’s going to happen, and we will be keeping our eyes and ears open as we continue to hear more ‘chatter’ coming from the news feeds. 




One thing is for certain today, we must be careful.  Days like these come around a few times each year, and when there are fundamentals that are causing price-action to behave out of the normal we need to recognize that as both an opportunity to make profit but also an opportunity to get ourselves into trouble if we cant keep our emotions under control and follow our trading plan.

Crude Oil Anchor Chart 1
We can see price-action tested the 112.00 big-round-number overnight as traders in Asia and Europe got a chance to react to the news from Syria as well.  During the US session on Tuesday we saw tremendous strength to the upside, and that continued overnight before price collapsed and came back down to the 109.00 area ahead of the opening bell here in the US.

The 5400-tick Anchor Chart shows us support levels below us at 108.90, 107.87, 106.84 and 105.37.  We will use these levels today for profit-targets if we sell short, and locations for a possible price-reversal and a buying opportunity later in the morning.

Crude Oil Anchor Chart 2
The 1800-tick anchor chart shows us a lot more details this morning, with support zones below us at 110.10 and 108.91, which we will use for buying opportunities if price decides to reverse and go higher.  Furthermore, if we see a collapse below the 108.74 prior-month highs we will then be looking for selling-opportunities because the buyers will have failed to keep price-action above that previous resistance.  




Keep an eye on this 108.74 area today; if we move below this level we sell short, and if the buyers test this level and then push higher we are buying long.  The biggest concern we have today is trying to trade if price-action gets ‘stuck in the mud’ around the 108.74.


Crude Oil 30-Minute VIP
Our 30-minute anchor chart shows us trading in the middle of the range from yesterday, with support zones below us at 108.90 and 106.90.  We see a VERY wide trading-range coming out of London/Overnight, so that tells us to expect a wide trading-range on the morning session today.  With news coming out from Syria every few moments this morning we can easily see how that can happen.



1 comment:

  1. I almost left my trading due to of loss since I found this blog i started trading again and now I am very happy trading is well going on thanks..........

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