Friday, August 16, 2013

Crude Oil Day trading strategy ; Screen to Floor Morning Prep




Crude Oil PIT direction
Crude Oil PIT Levels




Crude Oil News
This morning we are trading OPEX-Friday, and considering this is August, we can expect today to be one of the slowest days of the summer.  The month of August is known for inconsistent price-action, and today being OPEX isn’t going to make that any easier.  We will be trading very carefully this morning, and it is recommended that you trade smaller contract sizes, or move to a simulator until next Monday.




 We can see Crude Oil trading in the middle of the range from Thursday as we open a new day of trading on OPEX-Friday.


Crude Oil VIP Chart
Trading in the middle of the range tells us that we need to be patient for the high-percentage-trades this morning, which will occur around the highs and lows of the range.  Look for buying opportunities at the PLOD 106.60, and selling-opportunities at the PHOD of 107.87.

We can also see a bullish price-channel this morning, suggesting that the buyers are in control over the long-term trend so we will look for buying opportunities as the higher percentage trades today.  This means we take Wave patterns LONG with new higher-highs and we will buy at support levels as price pulls back.

Crude Oil Anchor Chart
The 5400-tick anchor chart on Crude Oil shows us a lot of important details this morning.  We can see a long term bear price-channel has now developed into a short term bullish price-channel (drawn in the yellow trend-lines).  This price-action suggests that we will see higher prices in the long term, however, the resistance at 107.41 may spoil the party for the buyers today.

We can see major resistance levels overhead at 107.41, 108.07, and the highs of both channels.  We can see major support levels below us at 106.91, 106.60, 106.30, and 105.52.  We will be looking for buying-opportunities at the support levels listed because of the bullish market sentiment we see on this chart.

Crude Oil Entry Chart
The 1800-tick chart of Crude Oil shows us some very important details this morning before we take our first trade of the day.  We can see the very narrow trading-range at this time with a trend-line drawn from lower-highs and higher-lows.  We can also see support levels below us at 106.74, 106.47, 106.09 and 105.86.  We will look for buying opportunities at these support levels because of the long-term trend being bullish on the anchor charts.  We have a profit-target at 108.49 overhead when we are buying today with the wave-pattern-long.


Our day trading plan today will be to stay patient, waiting for the market personality to tell us what direction to trade in, and when to begin trading.  We know today is OPEX-Friday in the month of August so we will be trading very cautiously, and with smaller size today.





VEGAS BABY!

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