Thursday, August 22, 2013

Crude Oil Day trading strategy; Morning Prep 08/22/13



Crude Oil News







Crude Oil Anchor Chart 1
Crude Oil jumped higher overnight after testing the 103.50 area late in the day on Wednesday.  This morning we find Crude Oil trading inside the zone from 104.99 down to 104.29 and we will be looking for additional clues this morning to tell us whether this price-action is going to go higher up to resistance at 105.24, or if it will drop lower and reach the 103.30 support.


Crude Oil 30-Min VIP Chart
Our 30-minute VIP chart shows us that price-action has been moving higher off the PLOD since early in the overnight session.  We can see the PLOD at 103.50 and the PHOD from Wednesday up at 105.14.  We know that price-action will most likely be trying to test the PHOD, so we will be using that as a directional clue this morning. 

We can also see a price-wedge on the 30-minute chart which may be trouble for the buyers this morning.  As price is rising higher off the PLOD it may be stalled-out at the highs of the price-wedge when it runs into the trend-line resistance around 104.60.  We will be watching the market personality very closely around the highs of the price-wedge this morning because we need to anticipate the sideways-trading-range if it develops.

Crude Oil Anchor Chart 2
Our 2nd anchor chart, the 1800-tick, shows us moving lower in a short term bear price-channel while moving through the support zone at 104.99 to 104.29.  Now we have price-action jumping back higher this morning and we have defined resistance zones overhead at 105.24 and 106.23, which we will use for a profit-target for the buyers and a selling-opportunity for the sellers today.  


The long-term trend appears to be bearish with the price-channel and the red-cloud so we will be looking for selling-opportunities as the high-percentage-trades this morning, and those selling-opportunities will most likely occur at 105.24, 105.64, 106.23 or 106.57.


Our day trading plan today will be to follow the trend on our anchor charts.  We can see that early in the session we will most likely have a bullish market sentiment because of the jump higher overnight, while in the long-term we expect to see the price-action turn around and move lower.  When the trend changes to bearish again later this morning we will be looking forward to selling short using the long-term trend and the bear price-channel on the anchor chart.


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