Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Crude Oil Day trading strategy; Screen to Floor Morning Prep 08/14/13



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Crude Oil PIT Session Levels









Crude Oil News
Crude Oil is trading on top of the 106.00 big-round-number this morning as we begin ‘wacky Wednesday’ of OPEX.  This morning we have major news from Crude Oil Inventories and we can also expect to see inconsistencies in price-action that come along with ‘wacky Wednesday’ so we need to be aware of the situation today.

Crude Oil Inventories News


The anchor chart of Crude Oil shows us trading at the lows of a price-wedge and in the middle of the trading-range.  We can see major resistance above us at 107.41, and support below at 105.36.  With this type of price-structure on the 1800-tick chart we will wait patiently for the high-percentage-trades to occur at the highs and lows of this price-wedge. 
Crude Oil Anchor Chart


Look for selling-opportunities at 107.01 and 107.20, while looking for buying-opportunities at 105.92 and 105.60 below us.  Stay away from the middle of the trading-range around 106.50.

The 5-minute VIP Chart shows us trading in a very similar price-wedge in the middle of the trading-range from both Monday and Tuesday.  We are below the PHOD and above the PLOD which tells us this price-action is ‘in-balance’ this morning.  
Crude Oil 5-Min VIP Chart

We will trade selling the highs and buying the lows when we find price-action inside the range from yesterday.  Look for buying opportunities at the 105.56 and 105.03 PLOD levels.  Look for selling-opportunities at the 107.20 and 107.69 PHOD levels above us.

The entry chart time frame shows us a very clear price-wedge with many levels of support and resistance around our current price of 106.00.  As we move lower we have support at 105.87, 105.60, and 105.49 for buying opportunities this morning.  As we move higher we have resistance at 106.47, 106.78, 106.85 and 107.20 for selling-opportunities.  
Crude Oil Entry Chart

It is very easy to see that we can look for fake-out-breakouts of this price-wedge this morning until something changes this market personality and we have a trend in one direction or the other.


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