Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Crude Oil Day trading strategy; Screen to Floor Morning Prep 08/06/13




Crude Oil News Today
Marty's  PIT Direction
Marty's PIT Levels










Crude Oil Anchor Chart:
Crude Oil Anchor Chart
Crude Oil is trading sideways this morning after successfully after bouncing off major support at 105.75 on Monday morning, and after trading higher overnight, we have settled just below the 107.00 big-round-number.

This anchor chart tells us the market personality is trading sideways, so we need to look for turning points in the market so we can find the short-term trend and trade with that direction.  This chart tells us what type of day we can expect to see today, which will be a sideways-trading-range.


Crude Oil 5-Minute:
Crude Oil 5-Minute Chart
The 5-minute chart is filled with important clues this morning.  First, we can see price-action is trading INSIDE the range from Monday, telling us to trade this market as ‘sideways’.  We will buy at lows and sell at highs when we find price-action trading INSIDE yesterday’s range. 

Second, we can see a narrowing price-wedge using two trend-lines on top and bottom of price.  These higher-lows and lower-highs tell us the market personality is un-decided on which direction they want to go in the long term.  We will buy-the-lows at support and sell-the-high at resistance when we see a price-wedge like this. 

Third, we can see the very wide trading-range coming out of the London trading Session.  We typically see about $1.00 trading-range after the London Session, and this morning we can see a slightly wider-than-average trading-range this morning at 7am EST.  A wide trading-range tells us to expect a wide trading-range on the US trading session today.  We can expect to see a breakout of this trading-range EVENTUALLY today, but at this time we don’t quite have enough information yet.  We are going to have to wait patiently to find a direction and then trade with that direction for a larger trading-range today.

Crude Oil Set-up:
Crude Oil Entry Chart
The 610-tick chart shows us a lot more of the same ‘stuff’ this morning that we’ve already seen on the anchor charts, but we have been able to locate some high-percentage support and resistance levels to trade with today above and below the current price around 107.00.

If price moves higher we have resistance overhead at 107.26.  If price moves lower we have support levels at 106.57, 106.22, and 106.00 at the lows of the range.  With this market personality trading ‘sideways’ we will chose to avoid the middle of the trading-range and look for selling-opportunities at the highs, and buying opportunities at the lows.


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