Friday, August 23, 2013

Crude Oil Day trading strategy; Morning Prep 08/23/13




Crude Oil News Today
Crude Oil looks bullish this morning, trading at the PHOD on the 30-minute VIP chart.  All signs point to higher prices this morning on the half-hour chart with a support trend-line, the PHOD, and a long term price-wedge.  

Crude Oil 30-Minute VIP
We can see the PHOD above us at 106.97 as a home-run target for the buyers this morning.  The most important price level will be the PHOD from Thursday at 105.43.  If we start moving higher above the 105.43 we will start buying pullbacks with a final target up at 106.97.



Crude Oil Anchor  1
The 5400-tick anchor chart shows us trading in the middle of the long term bear price-channel, with major resistance zones overhead at 105.73 and 107.00.  we will look for price-action to move higher to test the 105.73, which will put us above the PHOD we mentioned previously.  

One thing is very clear on the anchor chart; we are NOT testing any major support and resistance levels at this time, so we do not have enough information yet to make any final trading decisions.  Let’s look at the faster anchor chart.

Crude Oil Anchor 2
Our faster anchor chart, the 1800-tick, shows us a new short term bear price-channel, along with a resistance zone directly overhead at 105.24 up to 105.64.  We are selling the highs of this price-channel at this resistance zone because the price-channel tells us to sell short for the high-percentage-trades in this scenario.


We recall that the 30-minute VIP chart looked very bullish, which means we are going to sell short while keeping an eye on the price-reversal and the push higher.  If we start to see the sellers fail, and if the buyers start showing control over price-action at the highs of this price-channel we are going to have a decision to make.  

We will be watching for market personality around these highs to see if the buyers or sellers are going to take control today.

Crude Oil Entry 
The Entry chart time frame, the 600-tick, shows us a bull price-channel, lending credibility to the bullish price-action we saw on the 30-minute chart.  This chart shows us where to look for profit-targets on our short-selling.  We can see profit-targets at 104.79, 104.63, along with the lows of the bull price-channel.


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