Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Crude Oil Morning Prep Day Trading Strategy 07/02/13




Dollar-Index Weekly Chart:
Dollar Index Weekly
The Dollar-Index is testing major resistance on the weekly chart, which tells us that a falling-dollar may be what we see the rest of the week.  With a Dollar-Index pushing lower, the correlation will push prices higher on most of the markets we trade, especially the Euro and Gold.



Dollar-Index 60-Minute Chart:
Dollar Index 60-Minute
We can see the bull price-channel has held at the lows and prices are moving higher at the beginning of this week.  We have resistance levels overhead, and we can expect to see pullbacks on the way higher this morning.  Keep an eye on the weekly chart resistance, and remember that at any minute this Dollar-Index may collapse.



Crude Oil 240-Minute chart:

Crude Oil 4-Hour
Our 4-hour anchor is one of the most important because it shows us exactly where to be looking for buying-opportunities this morning.  We can see the trend-line support below, which makes for an excellent price-reversal level.  We certainly know that prices are moving higher, and that means 100.00 is on our radar, and we can expect by the end of this week that prices will indeed reach that psychological price level on our charts.


Crude Oil 60-Minute Chart:
Crude Oil 60-Minute
The hourly chart of Crude Oil shows us the bull price-channel but most recently we can see a consolidation in price-action just off the lows of the price-channel.  This looks like a price-wedge structure in the short term, which means we can expect to see 2-sided trading in a narrow range until something changes the market personality and we breakout.  We will be patient to look for price-action to pullback into the lows of the price-channel because that’s where the high-percentage-trades will occur this morning.  We want to buy the lows of the price-channel today for the best trade of the day, and we will stay patient to see which direction we see the breakout.


Crude Oil 5-Minute Chart:
Crude Oil 5-Minute
We can see VERY sideways and range-bound trading this morning as we come out of the London trading Session.  We don’t see this type of price-action very often, trading the majority of the overnight session in the middle of the trading-range, so we should take this as a big RED FLAG for things to come this morning.  We will sell the highs, buy the lows, and avoid trading in the middle of this range today.
We should make note that the previous week’s high is at the low of the price reversal-zone below us at 97.82.  This price will act as support until it’s broken and then we may see a big tumble lower if price-action stays below it today.  We expect to see rising prices into the middle of this week, so we will be watching closely.

VIP Buy-zone Level for today:      98.46 – 98.35
VIP Sell-zone Level for today:       97.93 – 97.82


No comments:

Post a Comment