Tuesday, July 30, 2013

Crude Oil Day trading strategy; Screen to Floor Morning Prep 07/30/13




"The downtrend will begin below the 102.57" - Crude Oil Kid


Marty's PIT Session Levels
Marty's PIT Session Notes

News Worksheet
This morning we have some great trading opportunities with the news on the schedule ahead of us.  We begin the 2-day FOMC Meeting this morning, and we have major news at 9:00am and 10:00am EST. 

We are trading into the end of the month of July, so we know that this price-action will be a little different as traders are forced to participate as the month closes out.

Crude Oil 240-minute:
Crude Oil 4-Hour 
The 4-hour anchor chart shows us trending lower this morning.  We can see the recent high of 108.93 has resulted in profit-taking at the highs as we change direction and move lower.  We can see the change in the long-term trend on Monday and we will use this as a big clue to keep selling short this morning with our members in the live trade-room.



Crude Oil 60-minute:
Crude Oil 60-Minute 
The hourly anchor chart reminds us WHY this price-action has been so choppy moving lower.  We can see the symmetry buy-zone from 104.08 down to 103.33, which is clearly to blame for the price-action ‘grinding’ lower late last week and on Monday.  We’ve seen clearly bearish market sentiment but we’ve also notice sloppy price-action moving lower, and this explains WHY. 

Our day trading plan will still be the same today; we want to sell retracements with new lower-lows as price-action drops.  We also know that there is room to buy in the short term, and we will use the highs of the bear price-channel as our profit-target for the buying opportunities today.

Crude Oil Entry Timeframe:
Crude Oil 987-Tick
We can see the almost-sideways bearish price-channel on the entry chart this morning, which confirms this sloppy price-action moving lower into major support on the anchor charts.

If you recall, we have a major buy-zone on the 60-minute chart, and we can see what this support level is doing to the price-action.  We know we want to sell the highs of this price-channel, and the long-term trend moving lower tells us that selling short will be the high-percentage-trades today.

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