Tuesday, June 4, 2013

06/04/13 Crude Oil Morning Prep; Buying the Lows of London ahead of the Opening Bell



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Marty's PIT Notes

Marty's PIT Levels



Crude Oil 15-Minute Anchor
Crude Oil 15-Minute:
We can see the price-wedge on the 15-minute chart this morning as we come off the highs of the price-wedge and trade lower this morning.  We can see a ‘hidden’ bearish price-channel as we move lower, which tells us to sell the highs of this price-channel for the high-percentage-trades on the way down.  We know that there will be a bounce off the lows of the price-channel so use that as a profit-target for selling the highs.  Look for easy profit-targets at 92.48, 92.05 and 91.78 on the way down.  I will be looking to buy the lows at 91.78 later today or tomorrow morning as soon as we get down to the lows.

Crude Oil Pit Session 
If prices happen to push higher this morning I will be looking for the fake-out-breakout above the 93.10 up to 93.34.  I will be patient to see the market personality at the highs of the bear price-channel because we know better than to buy these highs.  Look for the speed to slow down, the buyers to fail, and once we see the price-reversal at the highs we will look to enter short selling retracements on the way back down. 

Crude Oil 5-Minute VIP
Crude Oil 5-Minute:
The 5-minute VIP chart shows us the London trading Session lows have held as support and we are ALWAYS looking to buy in the price-reversal zone below the London lows.  We are bullish coming off the lows, and will use the resistance overhead at 93.04, 93.11, 93.21 and 93.27 as easy profit-targets on the way back up. 
Don’t forget, at the highs of the London trading Session we have another price-reversal zone that we will be looking to sell the highs, which happens to line up PERFECTLY with the highs of the bear price-channel we see on the 15-minute chart.  This sets the stage for an easy short-selling opportunity at 93.34 to 93.50 area.  We will have to be patient at the price-reversal zone overhead to get short, so wait for the price-reversal and then trade short with the new short-term trend.

Dollar Index 5-Minute
Dollar-Index Analysis:

We can see a short-term trend moving higher on the Dollar-Index over the last 36 hours, but that may be changing with this recent swing-low we see that has broken the lows of the price-channel.  With important news at 830am EST today we may see this Dollar-Index take off to the up-side again.  We will be watching this Dollar-Index all morning to look for clues within the Dollar-Index-correlation.

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